Saturday, June 20, 2020
Evaluating The Value Of Halfords Uk Finance Essay - Free Essay Example
Halfords is the UKs leading retailer, on the basis of turnover, in each of the key product markets in which it operates, being, car maintenance, car enhancement and leisure (including cycles and cycle accessories and roof boxes etc. Founded as a local hardware store in Birmingham inÂÂ 1892ÂÂ by F W Rushbrooke, Halfords has since grown to establish its position as the leading retailer of car parts, car enhancement, cycles and travel solutions in the UK.ÂÂ In this report the value of the company is evaluated on the basis of its current statutory accounts. In this report the alternative sources of finance available for the company are also discussed. The areas of corporate risk when raising finance, paying particular attention to funds available to the company are also discussed. Business valuation: A formal assessment of the value of a business using pre-determined and generally agreed upon formulas. Theres a range of ways to value a business. Valuations based on multiples of future earnings and the capitalisations of future cashflows are the most common. There are a number of common valuation methods: Asset valuation Earning value approaches Entry cost Market approach. Discounted cash flow Industry valuations Asset-based approaches Asset based business valuation methods total up all the investments in the business. Asset-based business valuations can be done on a going concern or on a liquidation basis. AÂÂ going concern asset-based approachÂÂ determines the business net balance sheet value of its assets and subtracts the value of its liabilities. AÂÂ liquidation asset-based approachÂÂ represents the net cash that would be received if all assets were sold and liabilities paid off. Earning value approaches Earning value business valuation methods are predicated on the idea that a businesss true value lies in its ability to produce wealth in the future. The most common earning value approach is about Capitalizing Past Earning. With this approach, a valuator determines an expected level of cash flow for the company using a companys record of past earnings, normalizes them for unusual revenue or expenses, and multiplies the expected normalized cash flows by a capitalization factor. The capitalization factor is a reflection of what rate of return a reasonable purchaser would expect on the investment, as well as a measure of the risk that the expected earnings will not be achieved. Discounted Future EarningsÂÂ is another earning value approach to business valuation where instead of an average of past earnings, an average of the trend of predicted future earnings is used and divided by the capitalization factor. Market value approaches Market value approaches to business valuation attempt to establish the value of the business by comparing the business to similar businesses that have recently sold. Obviously, this method is only going to work well if there are a sufficient number of similar businesses to compare. Valuation of Halfords Using the Market Value approach: In the report the Halfords Company is going to be evaluated using the market value approach. Valuation Multiple A value, typically expressed as a factor, used to multiply a business economic benefit to arrive at the business value. Market-derived business valuation multiples Valuation multiplesÂÂ derived from similar business sales are often used to estimate the likely selling price of a business. These multiples are calculated as ratios which relate some measure of business financial performance to its potential selling price. The most popularÂÂ multiplesÂÂ are: Selling price divided by business gross revenue Selling price divided by business net sales Selling price divided by cash flow, such asÂÂ Sellers Discretionary Cash FlowÂÂ orÂÂ Net Cash Flow OtherÂÂ valuation multiplesÂÂ that are also used rely on well-known accounting measures, for example: Selling price divided byÂÂ EBITDA,ÂÂ EBITÂÂ or net income Selling price divided by gross profit Selling price divided by the book value ofÂÂ business assets Selling price divided by the market value of total business assets or fixed assets such asÂÂ Furniture, Fixtures and Equipment Selling price divided by the value of owners equity Analyst Estimates: ÂÂ 2009 2010 2011 Revenue (GBP millions) 790.34ÂÂ 792.00ÂÂ 816.67ÂÂ Estimates 15ÂÂ 15ÂÂ 11ÂÂ High 816.00ÂÂ 829.00ÂÂ 842.55ÂÂ Low 784.70ÂÂ 780.00ÂÂ 774.30ÂÂ Net Profit Pre Exceptional (GBP millions) 62.89ÂÂ 66.77ÂÂ 68.84ÂÂ Estimates 9ÂÂ 8ÂÂ 7ÂÂ High 69.83ÂÂ 69.00ÂÂ 71.31ÂÂ Low 53.90ÂÂ 62.61ÂÂ 64.98ÂÂ Net Profit As Reported (GBP millions) 63.64ÂÂ 67.20ÂÂ 70.80ÂÂ Estimates 5ÂÂ 2ÂÂ 2ÂÂ High 65.20ÂÂ 67.80ÂÂ 71.20ÂÂ Low 62.60ÂÂ 66.60ÂÂ 70.40ÂÂ Pre-Tax Profit Pre Exceptional (GBP millions) 91.11ÂÂ 94.18ÂÂ 97.80ÂÂ Estimates 17ÂÂ 14ÂÂ 10ÂÂ High 94.50ÂÂ 97.08ÂÂ 102.00ÂÂ Low 78.00ÂÂ 89.44ÂÂ 92.70ÂÂ Pre-Tax Profit As Reported (GBP millions) 87.48ÂÂ 94.90ÂÂ 98.23ÂÂ Estimates 6ÂÂ 3ÂÂ 3ÂÂ High 92.00ÂÂ 96.00ÂÂ 101.00ÂÂ Low 75.90ÂÂ 94.20ÂÂ 96.00ÂÂ EPS Pre Exceptional (GBp) 31.21ÂÂ 31.94ÂÂ 33.10ÂÂ Estimates 18ÂÂ 16ÂÂ 12ÂÂ High 33.60ÂÂ 33.25ÂÂ 34.70ÂÂ Low 29.86ÂÂ 29.84ÂÂ 30.97ÂÂ EPS As Reported (GBp) 27.55ÂÂ 32.87ÂÂ 34.38ÂÂ Estimates 6ÂÂ 5ÂÂ 5ÂÂ High 32.40ÂÂ 33.60ÂÂ 36.30ÂÂ Low 23.00ÂÂ 31.98ÂÂ 33.28ÂÂ CPS (GBp) 34.36ÂÂ 39.34ÂÂ 40.82ÂÂ Estimates 5ÂÂ 5ÂÂ 4ÂÂ High 40.50ÂÂ 44.10ÂÂ 46.04ÂÂ Low 26.00ÂÂ 25.10ÂÂ 28.60ÂÂ DPS (GBp) 15.88ÂÂ 16.69ÂÂ 17.60ÂÂ Estimates 18ÂÂ 16ÂÂ 12ÂÂ High 16.50ÂÂ 18.00ÂÂ 19.00ÂÂ Low 15.14ÂÂ 16.00ÂÂ 16.50ÂÂ EBITDA (GBP millions) 123.84ÂÂ 124.99ÂÂ 128.60ÂÂ Estimates 13ÂÂ 13ÂÂ 8ÂÂ High 128.50ÂÂ 131.00ÂÂ 135.00ÂÂ Low 109.45ÂÂ 116.00ÂÂ 125.71ÂÂ EBIT (GBP millions) 101.47ÂÂ 100.53ÂÂ 104.05ÂÂ Estimates 12ÂÂ 11ÂÂ 8ÂÂ High 105.00ÂÂ 105.00ÂÂ 110.00ÂÂ Low 86.97ÂÂ 95.00ÂÂ 100.50ÂÂ NAV (GBp) 118.00ÂÂ 131.20ÂÂ 147.80ÂÂ Estimates 1ÂÂ 1ÂÂ 1ÂÂ High 118.00ÂÂ 131.20ÂÂ 147.80ÂÂ Low 118.00ÂÂ 131.20ÂÂ 147.80ÂÂ Currant finance structure: Treasury policy The Groups Treasury Policy is structured to ensure that adequate financial resources are available for the development of its business whilst managing its currency, interest rate and counterparty credit risks. The Groups treasury strategy, policy and controls are approved by the Board. The main elements of treasury activity and associated risk are outlined below: Funding The treasury function arranges sufficient secure financial resources to enable the Group to meet its medium-term business objectives, whilst arranging facility maturities appropriate to its projected needs. The Group has a syndicated five-year term facility, maturing with a bullet repayment in July 2011, totalling 300m of committed bank facilities, comprising a non-amortising term loan of 180m and a revolving credit facility of 120m, which, together with cash surpluses, provide adequate funding for the Groups operations. Counterparty credit risk The Group actively manages its relationships with a panel of high quality financial institutions. Credit risk is controlled by the treasury function setting counterparty credit limits by reference to published rating agency credit ratings and the Corporate Default Swap market. All such counterparties, which constitute the syndicated bank group, held at least an A credit rating at the time of the facility agreement. The Treasury Policy recognises that an exposure to a counterparty arises in relation to investments, derivatives and financial instruments. The Groups treasury departments main responsibilities are to: ÃÆ'Â ¢-ÂÂ Ensure adequate funding and liquidity for the Group; ÃÆ'Â ¢-ÂÂ Manage the interest risk of the Groups debt; ÃÆ'Â ¢-ÂÂ Invest surplus cash; ÃÆ'Â ¢-ÂÂ Manage the clearing bank operations of the Group; and ÃÆ'Â ¢-ÂÂ Manage the foreign exchange risk on its non-sterling cash flows. The Groups debt management policy is to provide an appropriate level of funding to finance the Business Plan over the medium term at a competitive cost and ensure flexibility to meet the changing needs of the Group. The Group has a syndicated five-year term facility totalling 300m that provides the Group with committed bank facilities until July 2011. The key risks that the Group faces from a treasury perspective are as follows: Financial risk The Business Plan and cash flow forecasts are subject to key assumptions such as interest rates and the significance of these risks is dependent upon the level of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation and the strength of the balance sheet. Interest rate risk The Groups policy aims to manage the interest cost of the Group within the constraints of the Business Plan and its financial covenants. The Groups borrowings are currently subject to floating rate and the Group will continue to monitor movements in the swap market. Foreign currency risk The Group has a significant transaction exposure with increasing, direct source purchases of its supplies from the Far East, with most of the trade being in US dollars. The Groups policy is to manage the foreign exchange transaction exposures of the business to ensure the actual costs do not exceed the budget costs by 10% (excluding increases in the base cost of the product). The Group does not hedge either economic exposure or the translation exposure arising from the profits, assets and liabilities of non-sterling businesses whilst they remain immaterial. During the 53 weeks to 3 April 2009, the foreign exchange management policy was to hedge between 75% and 80% of the material foreign exchange transaction exposures on a rolling 15-18 month basis. Hedging is performed through the use of foreign currency bank accounts, spot rates and forward foreign exchange contracts. Credit risk The Groups policy is to minimise the risk that foreign exchange and interest rate derivative counterparties, the holders of surplus cash and the providers of debt will be unable to fulfil their obligations and also, in the case of lenders, unwilling to extend the loan facilities when they expire. The Group ensured that such counterparties used for credit transactions held at least an A credit rating at the time of syndication (July 2006). Ancillary business, in the main, is directed to the eight banks within the syndicated group. The Treasurer is responsible for determining creditworthiness of each counterparty, based on the overall financial strength of the counterparty. The counterparty credit risk is reviewed in the Treasury report, which is forwarded to the Treasury Committee and the Treasurer reviews credit exposure on a daily basis. Conclusion: Depending on the financial data provided by the Halfords Company the current financial stability of the company is successfully analyzed. References Annual report: Halfords PLC https://www.halfordscompany.com/hal/ir/fininfo/reports/ https://www.valuadder.com/glossary/valuation-multiplier.html https://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/costofcapital.asp https://www.lse.co.uk/shareprice.asp?shareprice=THTshare=thorntons_plc_ord_10p Word Count: 2078
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